BJP might win-but ground realty is different-exit poll
5:00 PM Posted by ukmad
An exit poll was conducted online by this website on the voting day. BJP’s Suresh Angadi has 67% votes, Amarsinh Patil 24%, A B Patil 5%, Bhavi Kasturi 1%, VIJAYKUMAR UPADYA 1% & ASHOK HANAJI 2%. To be frank I don’t agree by this exit poll. See the evidences in the recent poll that happened. The polling was quite subdued and the Marathi manoos this time voted in very small number and this is a big hit to BJP and the Minorities and others have voted on earlier lines which means Congress and JD S will gain in this circumstance. The sample size who voted in this exit poll were computer literate and mostly youngsters which cannot be taken for granted as the exit poll for the entire constituency.But to me and news pouring in of other exit polls is BJP will not do good in Mumbai Karnataka i.e. Belgaum Chikodi and Karwar. The difference of margin would be 15 to 20 thousand or even less. The notable factor as I have been saying on this blog it’s not easy for BJP to retain this seat. Even though this exit poll shoes you that BJP is in the lead by a good margin it could just be the opposite also. Politics is a funny game and you can’t predict the JANTA’s vote. Disclaimer: The results of the exit poll are indicative in nature and the exit poll taken was on a sample of 143 only, which by any means will not represent the whole constituency. The entire poll was voluntary and online which means people who had access to the Internet only participated in the exit poll. Whatever may be the result, but this was an earnest effort from my side to have an exit poll in Belgaum (I haven’t heard of exit poll in Belgaum till date done by local media). The margin of error here is Maximum, I did mistakes but this was first chance at this one, Next time it will be perfect. Now will this result hold good in real is to be seen & if it does give me a Thumbs up or a Thumbs down. Sample size is not correct as it is too small. All Exit polls take caste as a major consideration, I havent done that either. In the 143 how voted in the exit poll 97% were Males and only 3% females The age group who participated was as follows No dount this poll shows BJP leading, the thruth could be different so stay tuned.
Belgaum Loksabha 2009 Exit poll results tomorrow at 5 pm
11:01 AM Posted by ukmad
As the last vote would be cast in the 85 odd constituencies tomorrow at 5pm, the exit poll results conducted by AllAboutBelgaum will be declared.
The EC has given permission to declare the results, as the polling in all stages will be complete by tomorrow.
Whom did you vote for? Exit Poll
7:00 AM Posted by ukmad
This is the very first exit poll for Belgaum being done the internet. As per EC rules I cannot publish the results immediately, hence they would be published as when we are permitted to do so.
This particular exit poll may not be full proof as many who are participating in the poll might not have voted, HENCE I REQUEST YOU TO ONLY VOTE HERE IF YOU HAVE VOTED IN REAL.
Many would ask why this poll then? It’s just a start on a small blog which with time could become big (if you all support) and at that time there could be a 100% real exit poll done.
If you cant see the form below click this link
http://spreadsheets.google.com/viewform?formkey=cFVlSHNfR3RvNkVvVkhiQ0N5OGdPWEE6MA..
Till then whom did you Vote For?
